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Investing and Economics Blog

Social Security Trust Fund

The Washington Post really doesn’t like Social Security … by Brad Setser

Best I can tell, Social Security is in the best financial shape of any federal program. It is in far better future shape than Medicare. And it is in way better shape than the portion of the government that isn’t financed by the payroll tax. That part of the government has a $434 billion deficit. Social Security, by contrast, has a $185b cash flow surplus. Social Security’s revenues exceed its expenditures – and will continue to do so for several years. Its financial assets are growing – they will top $2 trillion at the end of this year.

This is not the way the story is normally told. Social Security is actually in good shape for at least 30 years. That doesn’t mean it is not a big problem after that but Brad Setser makes a good point that the huge increase in the rest of the debt has really made that problem seem minor. The main point? We need to fix the rest of the budget mess, and while I still think Social Security needs adjustment really that is not as important as fixing the rest of the spending money the government doesn’t have.

Related: Estate Tax Repeal

January 16th, 2007 by John Hunter | 2 Comments | Tags: Economics, Retirement, quote

Comments

2 Comments so far

  1. Gen X Retirement at Curious Cat Investing and Economics Blog on April 17, 2008 6:15 pm

    [...] 15 years later, I believe). Going that far is not needed but it should be moved back. But really social security is in good shape for 30 years or more. First, it isn’t going to go from good shape to failed in a day. And second, they [...]

  2. Retirement Benefits: What to Expect in 2010 at Curious Cat Investing and Economics Blog on January 17, 2010 12:01 pm

    [...] Benefits: What to Expect in 2010 No Social Security increase. Monthly Social Security checks for most beneficiaries will not increase in 2010. Retirement payouts are tied to the Consumer Price [...]

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