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Investing and Economics Blog

First Quarter GDP 2009 down 6.1%

First Quarter GDP 2009 in the USA was down 6.1%. This is after a revised 6.3% drop in fourth quarter of 2008 (preliminary fourth quarter report showed a 6.2% decline). Real exports of goods and services decreased 30% in the first quarter, compared with a decrease of 23.6% in the fourth. Real imports of goods and services decreased 34.1%, compared with a decrease of 17.5%.

The personal saving rate — saving as a percentage of disposable personal income — was 4.2% in the first quarter, compared with 3.2% in the fourth quarter of 2008.

The news certainly is nothing to be happy about. But the stock markets around the world were buoyed by the Federal Reserves positive words:

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March indicates that the economy has continued to contract, though the pace of contraction appears to be somewhat slower. Household spending has shown signs of stabilizing but remains constrained by ongoing job losses, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Weak sales prospects and difficulties in obtaining credit have led businesses to cut back on inventories, fixed investment, and staffing.

Although the economic outlook has improved modestly since the March meeting, partly reflecting some easing of financial market conditions, economic activity is likely to remain weak for a time. Nonetheless, the Committee continues to anticipate that policy actions to stabilize financial markets and institutions, fiscal and monetary stimulus, and market forces will contribute to a gradual resumption of sustainable economic growth in a context of price stability.

True, those words hardly sound like great news but the markets were quite happy.

Related: The Economy is in Serious Trouble (Nov 2008) – Warren Buffett Webcast on the Credit Crisis – Fed Continues Wall Street Welfare (March 2008) – Manufacturing Data – Accuracy Questions

April 30th, 2009 John Hunter | 2 Comments | Tags: Economics

Comments

2 Comments so far

  1. Curious Cat Economics Blog: Economists Raise Projections for Second Half of 2009 on July 11, 2009 7:34 am

    Economists are raising projections for the USA economy in the second half of 2009. The predictions are still for an anemic economy growing at just 1.5% and with unemployment reaching 10.1%…

  2. 2nd Quarter USA GDP down 1% at Curious Cat Investing and Economics Blog on August 30, 2009 4:41 pm

    [...] First Quarter GDP 2009 down 6.1% – Economists Raise Projections for Second Half of 2009 – What the Bailout and Stimulus [...]

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