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Investing and Economics Blog

What Do Unemployment Stats Mean?

Economic statistics, like all data, needs to be defined. The way to collect data (economic data or any other type) is to operationally define the terms. Statistics don’t lie. Statistics can be faulty, when those collecting the data fail to use good operational definitions and the data quality is poor (without a definition people make guess…). People can also just make up false number. And people can try to mislead by stating statistics in a way that seem to indicate something that is not the most accurate way to view the whole situation.

The way to cope with such problems is to understand statistics and data. The data can be wrong. So you have to access that possibility. And the data can mean something different than you assume (and often the data is not presented with the operation definitions). When that is the case be careful about your assumptions (with financial and economic data and other data too). But don’t decide to just ignore data because then you condemn yourself to ignorance of the many things which data shed light onto.

In, What ‘Unemployment’ Really Means These Days, the unemployment data is explored. The post does a good job of showing how you can get different measures of the “unemployment rate” depending on how you define what you will measure. I happen to believe the existing measure is best but you need to understand that it doesn’t factor in underemployment and people giving up completely… I believe the best way to deal with those weaknesses is to have supplementary measures that enhance your understanding of the unemployment rate. And too view it as only one measure of economic health. Look also at median wages, health care coverage, hours worked, vacation time…
Read more

January 6th, 2007 by John Hunter | 7 Comments | Tags: Economics, Financial Literacy, quote

Investor Protection Needed

In an instant, retirement savings vanish by Bob Sullivan:

With hacking of brokerage accounts increasing, the legal gap facing DeSmidt and other victims has regulators and critics debating the need for new consumer protections.
…
Few consumers appreciate the fact that, unlike credit card and checking account transactions, there are no federal consumer regulations specifically protecting consumers in the event of brokerage account hacking
…
Both credit card transactions and electronic account transfers, such as online banking payments, are governed by Federal Reserve regulations that strictly limit consumers’ losses from theft. Consumers who report credit card fraud are only liable for $50
…
Despite the lack of legal compulsion, some investment firms have taken to offering broad consumer protections anyway. Both e-trade and Charles Schwab offer credit-card style guarantees. Money stolen from Charles Schwab’s Web site will be returned to consumers as long as the theft is reported in a timely way, said Schwab’s Greg Gable.

This risk is something the government should address. The risk is to the economy at large, as well as having extreme consequences for individual investors. We need to do as much as possible to encourage retirement savings. Not providing government backing (such as provided by FDIC…) is a mistake. The funding should be similar to that for FDIC where member banks are assessed fees to cover the costs of the program based on the risks seen in that institution.

FDIC has done a great job of creating an environment that gives individuals confidence in the system and encourages economic development. Securities Investor Protection Corporation is another possible model but for something so important to the economic security of the country (and individuals lives) direct government involvement makes sense to me.

January 5th, 2007 by John Hunter | 1 Comment | Tags: Economics, Financial Literacy, Retirement

Real Free Credit Report

From the official US Federal Trade Commission site:

A recent amendment to the federal Fair Credit Reporting Act requires each of the nationwide consumer reporting companies – Equifax, Experian, and TransUnion – to provide you with a free copy of your credit report, at your request, once every 12 months. But there’s only one online source authorized to do so. That’s annualcreditreport.com. Beware of other sites that may look and sound similar.

Viewing your credit report is an important step to financial security. You should review your credit reports annually (at least) to correct and any errors. Also doing so can be a tool to help you spot identity theft. The credit report site also has a large frequently asked question section with answers to questions like: What is a credit score? How do I request a “fraud alert” be placed on my file? Should I order all my credit reports at one time or space them out over 12 months? (I would suggest spreading the requests out during the year myself).

January 4th, 2007 by John Hunter | 3 Comments | Tags: Financial Literacy, Personal finance, Popular, quote, Tips

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