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Investing and Economics Blog

Investment Risk Matters Most as Part of a Portfolio, Rather than in Isolation

The biggest investing failing is not saving any money – so failing to invest. But once people actually save the next biggest issue I see is people confusing the investment risk of one investment in isolation from the investment risk of that investment within their portfolio.

It is not less risky to have your entire retirement in treasury bills than to have a portfolio of stocks, bonds, international stocks, treasury bills, REITs… This is because their are not just risk of an investment declining in value. There are inflation risks, taxation risks… In addition, right now markets are extremely distorted due to the years of bailouts to large banks by the central banks (where they are artificially keeping short term rates extremely low passing benefits to investment bankers and penalizing individual investors in treasury bills and other short term debt instruments). There is also safety (for long term investments – 10, 20, 30… years) in achieving higher returns to gain additional assets – increased savings provide additional safety.

Yes, developing markets are volatile and will go up and down a lot. No, it is not risky to put 5% of your retirement account in such investments if you have 0% now. I think it is much riskier to not have any real developing market exposure (granted even just having an S&P 500 index fund you have some – because lots of those companies are going to make a great deal in developing markets over the next 20 years).

I believe treating very long term investments (20, 30, 40… years) as though the month to month or even year to year volatility were of much interest leads people to invest far too conservatively and exacerbates the problem of not saving enough.

Now as the investment horizon shrinks it is increasing import to look at moving some of the portfolio into assets that are very stable (treasury bills, bank savings account…). Having 5 years of spending in such assets makes great sense to me. And the whole portfolio should be shifted to have a higher emphasis on preservation of capital and income (I like dividends stocks that have historically increased dividends yearly and are likely to continue). And the same time, even when you are retired, if you saved properly, a big part of your portfolio should still include assets that will be volatile and have good prospects for long term appreciation.

Related: books on investing – Where to Invest for Yield Today – Lazy Portfolios Seven-year Winning Streak (2009) – Fed Continues Wall Street Welfare (2008), now bankers pay themselves huge bonuses because the Fed transferred investment returns to too-big-to-fail-banks from retirees, and others, investing in t-bills.

February 24th, 2011 John Hunter | 8 Comments | Tags: Financial Literacy, Investing, Personal finance, Retirement, Saving, Stocks, Tips

Comments

8 Comments so far

  1. Financial Ramblings « Intelligent Speculator on February 27, 2011 2:37 pm

    […] companies that stand to be richly rewarded in Southern Alberta and Montana @ BeatingTheIndex -Investment risk matters most as part of a portfolio than isolated @ Curious Cat -The Millionaire next door @ GetRichSlowly -9 steps to build and manage a dividend […]

  2. Curious Cat Investing and Economics Carnival #12 at Curious Cat Investing and Economics Blog on March 3, 2011 12:52 pm

    […] Investment Risk Matters Most as Part of a Portfolio, Rather than in Isolation […]

  3. Ken Fisher Disputes Some Investing Tips at Curious Cat Investing Blog on August 7, 2011 4:55 am

    His point on dollar cost averaging is sensible. Markets go up, more than down, overall [the statistically best approach] if you have a lump sum to invest the best strategy would be to invest it all now. There is added risk with this however…

  4. Looking for Dividend Stocks in the Current Extremely Low Interest Rate Environment at Curious Cat Investing and Economics Blog on September 26, 2011 4:54 pm

    […] bonds place in a balanced portfolio. In the portion of the portfolio aimed at capital appreciation I think too much emphasis is placed on “risk” (more concentration is fine in my opinion – if you believe you have a good risk reward […]

  5. A Risk You Probably Don’t Consider: Solar Storms at Curious Cat Investing and Economics Blog on July 13, 2013 9:32 pm

    I am still looking for investment ideas that stand to benefit from global climate change. We seem pretty determined not to take actions to reduce the risks so reducing the impacts seems unlikely. Mostly this will cause great damage to our standards of living…

  6. Diversification for Real Estate Investors | Freelance Lifestyle, Finance and Entrepreneurship Blog on January 19, 2019 10:42 am

    […] Other thoughts on diversification: Investment Risk Matters Most as Part of a Portfolio, Rather than in Isolation […]

  7. 10 Stocks for 10 Years (2018 version) at Curious Cat Investing and Economics Blog on June 17, 2019 10:34 am

    […] a portion of the portfolio allocated to equity holdings). Previous posts on portfolio allocation: Investment Risk Matters Most as Part of a Portfolio, Rather than in Isolation, Investment Options Are Much Less Comforting Than Normal These Days (2013) and Investing Return […]

  8. Google Finance – Tracking a Portfolio with Mutual Funds | Freelance Lifestyle, Finance and Entrepreneurship Blog on August 20, 2020 9:21 am

    […] To Build a Nest Egg as Quickly as Possible – Retirement Portfolio Allocation for 2020 – Investment Risk Matters Most as Part of a Portfolio, Rather than in Isolation – Retirement Planning: Looking at […]

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