Welcome to the Curious Cat Investing, Economics and Personal Finance Carnival. Investing markets continue to move in seemingly haphazard ways. The risks from excessive debt, failure to regulate financial institutions, political weakness (both of politicians and of populaces electing such incapable politicians), financial fraud and more make this a very difficult time to invest. We hope to help find useful recent personal finance, investing and economics blog posts and articles.
- The Unemployment Plan – “I just found out that I’m being “downsized” at the end of the year. While I have a small emergency fund, I do have a mortgage and a bit of credit card debt. I also have three kids at home. My wife will continue to work, but she has only a part-time job with minimal benefits. I am receiving a pretty good severance package, though.
Rather than panicking, I’m trying to be calm and rational about figuring out what’s next…” - Choosing Between An Annuity And A Dividend Portfolio – “Personally, I consider the choice between an annuity or a dividend portfolio to be a no-brainer. I think a systematic, sustainable and disciplined approach to dividend investing will outperform in almost all cases and while it will require a bigger time investment, that is a small price to get more flexibility, better returns and a much stronger growth potential.”
- From the webcast (see above) with Jim Rodgers. He sees a difficult period worldwide the next 2 years. He is short many shares everywhere (including emerging market). He also owns some shares. But overall he sees a difficult few years for stock markets.
He says China has a price bubble in real estate and many bankruptcies will take place. But it is not as bad as the USA problems where there was a credit bubble (you have to have a job to get real estate loans, while in the USA and UK you didn’t have too). Chinese banks are is less bad shape than the USA and Europe. - Manufacturing Employment Data: USA, Japan, Germany, UK… 1990-2009 by John Hunter – “Compensation in the countries currency is remarkably consistent across all countries from 1990-2009. Japan shows the only significant divergence in the period of 2002 – 2009 actually decreasing pay in real terms (a small amount – from 100 to 98) while the average increases to about 110.”
- Economist on the Euro Crisis – “The crisis in the euro area is turning into a panic and dragging the zone into recession. The risk that the currency disintegrates within weeks is alarmingly high.”
- Retirement age across countries: The role of occupations by Philip Sauré and Hosny Zoabi – “In Mexico, the average male worker retires at 75. In Bulgaria, he does so at 58. This column argues that an economy’s composition of occupations matters for its average effective retirement age as the nature of different occupations leads workers to retire at different ages. It suggests the differences in occupational composition explain up to 40% of the observed cross-country variation in retirement age.”
- Buy Western Gas Partners by Jim Jubak – “units of Western Gas Partners pay a dividend of 4.4%. I think the units also offer good potential for capital appreciation. As more wells in the areas served by Western Gas Partners plants and pipelines go into production, the partnership will see rising volumes through its system and increasing cash flow.”
- Europe’s Financial Crisis, in Plain English – “The Germans are also wary of the widespread calls for the European Central Bank to buoy Spain and Italy by buying their bonds. If they know the E.C.B. will bail them out, what will be their incentive to act responsibly in the future? Worse, Germans argue, printing money to pay off government debt (which is what the E.C.B. would essentially be doing) is the first step to hyperinflation.”
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Thanks a lot for the link!