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Asia banking bonds capitalism chart China commentary consumer debt Credit Cards credit crisis curiouscat debt economic data Economics economy employment energy entrepreneur Europe fed Financial Literacy government health care housing interest rates Investing John Hunter manufacturing markets mortgage Personal finance Popular quote Real Estate regulation Retirement save money Saving spending money Stocks Taxes Tips USA Warren Buffett webcast

National Debt Down Almost $1 Billion Yesterday

The USA national debt decreased almost $1 billion yesterday. If it decreased by $1 billion dollars a day in just 10,526 days the USA government would be out of debt. That is just under 29 years, that doesn’t seem so bad. Unfortunately the decrease yesterday is not likely the start of a new trend (it is just daily variation).

In the last month the debt is up over $580 Billion. At that rate, well lets just say if that rate continued long we would be in even more serious trouble than we have been placed in by the amazingly irresponsible behavior of the politicians increasing taxes on our grandchildren (with massive spending they chose to fund by huge tax increases on our grandchildren) have been doing the last 5 years. In the last year they have spent $1.46 Trillion more than they paid for (which will have to be paid for by future taxes – although the recent decision to purchase $125 billion in bank stocks perhaps opens another option for the the government to start buying companies and use profits they make to pay off the debt they are taking on).

The current debt stands at $10,525,823,144,117. That is a bit over $10.5 Trillion.

Related: True Level of USA Federal Deficit – USA Federal Debt Now $516,348 Per Household – Washington Paying Out Money it Doesn’t Have

October 30th, 2008 by John Hunter | Leave a Comment | Tags: Economics, Taxes

Crisis May Push USA Federal Deficit to Above $1 Trillion for 2009

Cost of U.S. Crisis Action Grows, Along With Debt

The global financial crisis is turning into a bigger drain on the U.S. federal budget than experts estimated two weeks ago, ballooning the deficit toward $2 trillion.
…
The 2009 budget deficit could be close to $2 trillion, or 12.5 percent of gross domestic product, more than twice the record of 6 percent set in 1983, according to David Greenlaw, Morgan Stanley’s chief economist. Two weeks ago, budget analysts said the measures might push deficit to as much as $1.5 trillion.
…
The financial health and earnings prospects of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac — seized by the government on Sept. 7 to prevent them from failing — worsened in the second and third quarters, the companies’ government regulator said this week.
…
On top of all that, budget watchdogs say the sheer size of the interventions is making Washington more profligate than usual. To attract votes in Congress, leaders added several costly items to the $700 billion rescue, including extensions of some tax credits and tax breaks for makers of wooden arrows and stock- car racetrack owners.

Under normal circumstances, there would have been more resistance to such expenses, said Robert Bixby, executive director of the Concord Coalition, a non-partisan budget watchdog.

The news sure is not yet getting better. And our failure to act responsibly in good times now seriously increase risk. Just as someone that lived far beyond their means, with excessive debt, debt on multiple credit cards… we have continually elected politicians that had our government live beyond our means for decades. And that means we don’t have the resources to pay for the measures we are talking. For now the world markets are willing to give the USA government more credit cards to finance more spending. But at some point that stops.

At some point the loans have to be paid back. The only options are large reductions in spending, large increases in taxes or just printing more and more money people don’t want to pay off loans (which will cause massive inflation). There is also the possibility of growing our way out of the problems (the equivalent of yes, I have $40,000 in credit card debt but when I make $150,000 a year paying that off will be easy). To some extent this will happen (unless things get very very bad) but the level of economic growth needed is unlikely to fix the problem we make worse every year (as we fall further and further behind). We are now spending huge amounts to money we didn’t save in the good times. That means we are mortgaging even more of our future than we already had before this mess.

Related: Financial Market Meltdown – Warren Buffett Webcast on the Credit Crisis – FDIC Limit Raised to $250,000 – Financial Markets Continue Panicky Behavior – USA Federal Debt Now $516,348 Per Household

Plan Pushed for Government to Buy Bank Stocks

Bank nationalization would be a more extraordinary move for the US, but in a recent interview former FDIC Chairman William Isaac provided some rare insight into the matter. He said that during the Latin American debt crisis of the 1980s when major money center banks were facing possible loan payment defaults by sovereign governments, the US “had a contingency plan in place to nationalize [the banks].”

Read more

October 12th, 2008 by John Hunter | 1 Comment | Tags: Economics

Credit Unions Slowly Fill Payday Lenders Void

As I have mentioned previously credit unions do a much better job than any other financial category of providing customer value. Instead of trying to trick you and rip you off, credit unions often just provide services at a reasonable cost. What a sensible idea. Credit Unions Slowly Fill Void As Payday Lenders Leave D.C.

In January, legislation went into effect capping interest rates in the District at 24 percent, effectively driving out the area’s payday lenders, whose business model is wedded to annualized rates of 300 percent and above. Credit unions are now slowly filling the void in small-dollar loans. At least half a dozen District institutions are attempting to reinvent the loans as a tool to help bring hard-pressed borrowers closer to financial health.

The credit unions’ products vary, but generally they are loans of $300 to $1,000 with an annual percentage rate of up to 18 percent. Unlike payday loans, in which borrowers sign over part of their next paycheck for the cash advance, the credit unions’ new products have longer terms, from thirty days to a year.

It is still an indication of bad personal finances to take the short term loan, but if that is the choice you make, paying a reasonable rate will greatly reduce the damage to your personal financial health.

Related: personal loans – Ohio Acts to Protect Citizens from Payday Loan Practices – Dragged Down by Debt – Don’t Let the Credit Card Companies Play You for a Fool – Sneaky Fees

July 26th, 2008 by John Hunter | Leave a Comment | Tags: Personal finance

New Graduates Should Live Frugally

Graduates should put off living large after college

Good habits are important to start early,” said Laura Tarbox, founder of Tarbox Group, a financial planning firm in Newport Beach. “Take your finances as seriously as you do your relationship and career decisions, and you’ll end up way ahead of everybody else. But you’ve got to do it now. If you start even five years later, it just doesn’t work.”

The key, experts say, is a simple one: Live like a poor college student for a couple more years. While you’re doing that, you can pay off your debt, start a savings plan and embrace healthy habits that will serve you well for life.

This is exactly what I did. Outside of paying for college, extra living expenses in college were small. Just retaining the spending habit of college gets your personal finances off on a good start.

Sallie Smart, 22, economizes like crazy in her first years after school so that she can save $500 a month in her 401(k), and she keeps that pace up indefinitely. Her employer matches 50%, pitching in $250 a month. If she earns a 9% annual return on her investments, when she wants to retire at age 65 she’ll have $4.1 million in her nest egg.

Patty Procrastinator lives a little better when she first gets out of college and doesn’t start saving in the 401(k) until she’s 32. From that point, she also saves $500 a month, her employer adds $250 a month, and she earns a 9% return — just like Sallie. But at age 65, Patty will have only $1.7 million. That decade of delay will cost Patty $2.4 million.

Incidentally, Sallie contributes from her own money just $60,000 more than Patty does. The rest of the difference comes from employer contributions and investment returns.

By immediately starting to save for retirement and other needs you create a great foundation for your finances. Start saving for a house, a new car, create an emergency fund… Then you can create a situation where the only loans you need to take are for a house and maybe a new car – avoiding credit card debt or other personal loans.

Related: Personal Finance Basics: Health Insurance – Initial Retirement Account Allocations – Why Americans Are Going Broke

June 8th, 2008 by John Hunter | 1 Comment | Tags: Personal finance, Retirement, Saving, Tips

Ohio Acts to Protect Citizens from Payday Loan Practices

Payday lenders likely doomed in Ohio. Good.

A hotly debated bill that effectively would spell the end of the short-term, high-interest payday-lending industry in Ohio sailed through the Ohio Senate yesterday despite pleas from lenders that their stores would close and 6,000 employees would be put out of work.

The Senate was unable to find a compromise that both satisfied payday lenders and eliminated the debt trap that bill supporters said forced too many borrowers to take out new loans to pay for old ones. So it did what the House did last month: dropped the hammer.

“I think everybody said there is just no way to redeem this product. It’s fundamentally flawed,” Bill Faith, a leader of the Ohio Coalition for Responsible Lending, said of the twoweek loans. The industry “drew a line in the sand, and the legislature kicked the line aside and said we’re done with this toxic product.”

House Bill 545 would slash the annualized interest rate charged by payday lenders from 391 percent to 28 percent, prohibit loan terms of less than 31 days and limit borrowers to four loans per year. It also would ban online payday lending.

Yes in a small number of cases payday loans are helpful. In the vast majority of cases they harm citizens and the economic well being of society. Legislators should act to fix practices that harm the economy.

May 21st, 2008 by John Hunter | 1 Comment | Tags: Economics, Personal finance

Dealing with Debt Collectors

The best method to avoid problems with debt collectors is to avoid debt problems (Create Your Cash Reserve – use your credit card responsibly – Buy less stuff). But if you do run into problems and get stuck dealing with debt collectors in addition to the financial trouble you may find yourself very frustrated and stressed. The Fair Debt Collection resource of the Federal Trade Commission provides useful information:

Debt collectors may not harass, oppress, or abuse you or any third parties they contact. For example, debt collectors may not:

  • use threats of violence or harm
  • publish a list of consumers who refuse to pay their debts (except to a credit bureau)
  • use obscene or profane language; or repeatedly use the telephone to annoy someone

Debt collectors may not use any false or misleading statements when collecting a debt. For example, debt collectors may not:

  • falsely imply that they are attorneys or government representatives
  • falsely imply that you have committed a crime
  • falsely represent that they operate or work for a credit bureau
  • misrepresent the amount of your debt
  • indicate that papers being sent to you are legal forms when they are not
  • indicate that papers being sent to you are not legal forms when they are

Why is such a resource needed? Because many debt collectors have behaved unethically and illegally. To file a complaint use that link or call toll-free, 1-877-382-4357.

FTC 2008 Report on Fair Debt Collection Practices Act
Read more

May 13th, 2008 by John Hunter | Leave a Comment | Tags: Personal finance, Tips

What Should You Do With Your Government “Stimulus” Check?

What Should You Do With a Check Out of the Blue?

The USA government is sending out checks to taxpayers in an effort to encourage spending which in turn will provide stimulus to the economy in the very short term. First, this is bad policy in my opinion. Second, if you support this policy the precondition is you run surpluses in order to pay for it when you want to carry out such a policy. They have not, instead they have run huge deficits. What they have chosen to do is spend huge amounts and have the taxes paid by the children and grandchildren of those the politicians are spending the money on today. I would support Keynesian government spending in a serious recession or depression – just not for a country already with enormous debts and in a very mild recession.

But ok, so the government chooses to spend your children’s taxes foolishly, what should you do now? This is very easy. Whatever is the wisest move for your personal financial situation for any windfall you receive, regardless of the source of that windfall. If all your savings needs are met there is nothing wrong with buying some toy. But most people need to pay off debt, build an emergency fund, save for retirement or something similar not get another toy. Of course would be nothing wrong with donating it Kiva, Trickle Up, the Concord Coalition or your favorite charity.

The politicians are acting like a 5 year old that wants a new toy. I can too get the new toy now :-O, Mommy you can use your credit card. So what if you already bought me so many toys you couldn’t afford by using your other credit cards and they won’t lend you any more money. Just get another one. Similar to how congress recently yet again increased the allowable federal debt limit to over $9,000,000,000,000.

The stimulus effect of spending is that if you actually purchase a new toy (say a TV), then the store needs to replace that TV so the factory makes another TV… The store, shipper, factory, supplier to the factory all pay staff to carry this out, those staff can buy new books, dishwasher… and the business may buy a new forklift or computer to keep up…
Read more

April 8th, 2008 by John Hunter | 1 Comment | Tags: Economics, Personal finance, Saving, Taxes, quote

$2,540,000,000,000 in USA Consumer Debt

U.S. Consumer Borrowing Rose $5.2 Billion in February

Consumer credit increased $5.2 billion for the month to $2.54 trillion, the Fed said today in Washington. In January, credit gained $10.3 billion, more than a previously reported increase of $6.9 billion. The Fed’s report doesn’t cover borrowing secured by real estate, such as home-equity loans.

$2.54 Trillion seems like a great deal to me. Based on a population of 300 million people that would mean $8,467 for every person in just personal debt. USA GDP = $13 trillion. USA federal debt = $9.4 trillion (based on the USA government accounting – so way understating the true debt). USA federal budget $3 trillion.

Related: Americans are Drowning in Debt – Too Much Personal Debt (UK, £1.3 trillion in 2006 – even more than the USA) – Incredibly Bad Customer Service from Discover Card

April 7th, 2008 by John Hunter | 6 Comments | Tags: Economics, Personal finance

Dragged Down by Debt

Dragged Down by Debt by Jane Bryant Quinn (Newsweek broke the link so I removed it):

Payday and car-title lenders tend to cluster in low-income neighborhoods—especially around military bases, where families are young and borrowers aren’t very savvy about interest rates. Congress recently slapped a 36 percent interest-rate cap on loans made to members of the armed services. But it left out everyone else, who pay rates that sometimes exceed 700 percent, says CFA’s Fox.

Of all the predatory loans, “exploding mortgages,” with interest rates that wing up after two or three years, are probably the most toxic and have made the most headlines. They’re typically granted to borrowers classed as “subprime”— those with credit scores under 620 (a 900 score is tops). But these are the very people least able to handle monthly payments that suddenly double or triple.

Related: Personal Loan information – Learning About Personal Loans – articles on loans

May 1st, 2007 by John Hunter | Leave a Comment | Tags: Financial Literacy, Personal finance
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