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Investing and Economics Blog

Asia banking bonds capitalism chart China commentary consumer debt Credit Cards credit crisis curiouscat debt economic data Economics economy employment energy entrepreneur Europe Financial Literacy government health care housing interest rates Investing Japan John Hunter manufacturing markets micro-finance mortgage Personal finance Popular quote Real Estate regulation Retirement save money Saving spending money Stocks Taxes Tips USA Warren Buffett

Curious Cat Investing and Economics Carnival #5

Welcome to the Curious Cat Investing and Economics Carnival: we highlight recent blog posts we found interesting.

  • Dividend stocks that beat the market by Jim Jubak – “A hefty dividend isn’t enough to prevent major capital damage when a sector takes that kind of punishment. Another lesson is that a dividend income portfolio needs more frequent care and feeding than I gave this one.”
  • Get Real On The Economic Recovery And Stock Market Rally – “Another rapid slump in global economy is far from impossible. Double dip recession could arise from sky-high public debts or another financial crisis sparked by delinquency in prime mortgage loans, risky commercial sector or derivatives.”
  • Don’t Miss Out on a Good Investment Today Because You Missed a Better Investment Earlier by John Hunter – Instead of just missing out because I made a mistake and didn’t buy a stock at a lower price earlier, I have learned to accept that buying at the higher price available today can be the best option…
  • How much should be in your emergency fund? by Patrick – “Some people recommend at least 3-6 months living expenses, some recommend 6 months to a year, and some recommend a few thousand dollars. In my opinion, this is a very personal decision and should be based on your individual circumstances.”
  • Weakon 238: Stock Beta by Philip – ” If the beta comes back 1 or higher then you are relying on the market for your returns and are not protected against a down market. That isn’t a bad thing if you’re tolerant to risk, the beta on my 401(k) is 1.3.”
  • Government Debt Around the World as Percentage of GDP 1990-2007 by John Hunter – The overall OECD debt to GDP ratio decreased from 77% in 2005 to 75% in 2007. The USA moved in the opposite direction increasing from 62% to 63%
  • Read more

October 26th, 2009 by John Hunter | Leave a Comment | Tags: carnival, Investing

Curious Cat Investing and Economics Carnival #4

Welcome to the Curious Cat Investing and Economics Carnival, we hope you enjoy the following posts we share here.

  • Does Earning More Trump Frugality? – “Which way is better? I think there’s a different answer for each person, actually. For some people, the bird in the hand is better – if you have a career that isn’t helped by such networking, for example. For others, building your presence might be more valuable than a frugality task.”
  • Existing Home Sales Far Worse Than Advertised by Barry Ritholtz – “While the very worst of housing trouble may be behind us, we are still looking at falling prices and increasing foreclosures. The Housing getting worse more slowly camp is ignoring the massive Federal subsidies required to get worse more slowly.”
  • Loan Delinquency Rates Increased Dramatically in the 2nd Quarter by John Hunter – “Default rates on commercial (up another 151 basis points) and residential (up 93 basis points) real estate continued to increase dramatically in the second quarter. Credit card default rates increased but only by 20 basis points.”
  • Don’t Bet On A V-shaped Economy Recovery – “Banks’ restrictive lending, unemployment, stagnant wages and falling home values resulted in reluctance of households to borrow money for spending. With debt weary US consumers (which accounts for 70% US GDP), the US economy and export markets will not be in a hurry to rush into a V-shaped recovery even as the recession eases.”
  • Tips for Managing Your 401k Plan by Patrick – “Max out company match. If your company offers matching contributions, then you should contribute at least the amount of the full company match if you can afford it. The company match is part of your benefits package and is essentially free money.”
  • Deciphering the GDP Numbers by Philip – “Federal Spending: Federal Spending grew 10.9%, as compared with a drop of 3% in the previous quarter. This number tells you what a big cushion the economy got from the various stimulus programs that the government ran. Without the stimulus, the numbers would have been much worse than they were”
  • Read more

September 1st, 2009 by John Hunter | 2 Comments | Tags: carnival

Curious Cat Investing and Economics Carnival #3

Welcome to the Curious Cat Investing and Economics Carnival, we hope you enjoy the following posts we share here.

  • Warren Buffet On An Investment News Channel by Robin Bal – “I could see that the mere mention of a time scale like three to five years had derailed the interviewer’s thought process. Coming as she did from a world where three to five hours or at most three to five days is the standard unit of time, the idea of an investor talking in years seemed to have thrown a spanner in her works.”
  • Loan Default Rates: 1998-2009 by John Hunter – “In the 4th quarter of 2007 residential real estate default rates were 3.02% by the 4th quarter of 2008 they were 6.34% and in the 1st quarter of this year they were 7.91%”
  • Key Factors Affecting Long-Term Growth in Federal Spending by Douglas Elmendorf – “Two factors underlie the projected increase in federal spending on Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security as a share of GDP: rapid growth in health care costs and an aging population.”
  • Will the Chinese Keep Saving? by Rachel Ziemba – “Should export-oriented ‘surplus’ countries like China keep saving and keep trying to export demand, the reduction in imbalances could actually exacerbate the global economic contraction or contribute to a more sluggish recovery. “
  • Use Your Health Insurance! by David Weliver – “So if you’re worried about losing your job (and insurance) or anticipate making a life change that will leave you uninsured, get in to see a doctor while you are still covered.”
  • Where is the externality here? by Matt Nolan – “They are paid less because their marginal product is lower, and they are willing to be paid less because the benefit they receive from consuming alcohol is sufficient compensation – this is a completely internalised decision for the drinker isn’t it, so where is the social cost.”
  • Quibbles With Quants – “What the models failed to capture was that humans don’t behave in simple, predictable and uncorrelated ways. It’s impossible to overstate the importance of the way these models cope with correlation of peoples’ psychology. To sum it up: they don’t. Let me know if that’s too complex an analysis for the mathematical masters of the universe.”
  • Goldman’s Back, and Why We Should Be Worried by Robert Reich – “The decision to bail out AIG resulted in a $13 billion giveaway to Goldman because Goldman was an AIG counterparty. Indeed, Goldman executives and alumni have played crucial roles in guiding the Wall Street bailout from the start. So the fact that Goldman has reverted to its old ways in the market suggests it has every reason to believe it can revert to its old ways in politics, should its market strategies backfire once again — leaving the rest of us once again to pick up the pieces.”
July 16th, 2009 by John Hunter | Leave a Comment | Tags: carnival, Economics, Investing

Curious Cat Investing and Economics Carnival #2

Welcome to the second edition of our investing and economics carnival.

  • How Does the Current Crisis Compare to the Great Depression? by Price Fishback – “How does this compare to the Great Depression? We won’t know the final outcome of this recession for a while, but I can safely say that the current situation is nowhere near as bad as the situation during the 1930′s.”
  • US GDP and imports by Matt Nolan – “Now, this doesn’t actually make sense as a measure to look at. Why? Well when we measure GDP we are interested in ‘domestic production’…”
  • 100th Entrepreneur Loan by John Hunter – “Participating with Kiva is a great antidote to reading about the unethical ‘leaders’ taking huge sums to run their companies into the ground (or even just taking obscene sums to maintain their company). The opportunity to give real capitalists an chance at a better life is wonderful.”
  • The Best 15 Financial iPhone Apps by David Weliver – “More than a dozen great financial apps for the iPhone make tracking and managing your personal finances on the go as easy as texting. Want to enlist your iPhone to help you get richer?”
  • Bolster Your Emergency Fund In A Prolonged Crisis – “To prepare for the worst, we should picture an unemployed scenario and get serious about bulking up our emergency fund to meet at least six to eight months of expenses.”
  • How to make money without a job and why you should – “There are two more advantages to alternative income besides diversification of income sources. First of all is the expansion of skills… You are learning something new, and making it that much more likely that you’ll be able to add further income streams…
  • Five Low-Risk Stocks For Gen Y – “There are much better alternatives for the ultra-conservative Gen Y investors than money market accounts, Treasuries and CDs. A conservative strategy focusing on high quality, low risk dividend stocks should significantly out-perform the above investments, with very little incremental long-term risk.”
  • 5 easy ways to save money and the environment – “Bottled water is a huge drain on our resources and are grossly overpriced. Reusable water bottles use fewer resources, save you money… Compact fluorescent light bulbs use 25% of the energy of standard incandescent bulbs and usually last 5 years or more…”
  • Text Messaging is the Biggest Scam of the 21st Century – “The cost per GB of cable internet is $0.75… the cost per GB of cell phone data $6.00… the cost per GB of text messaging data is $800…”

I decided to add this investing and economics carnival after running the Curious Cat Management Management Improvement Carnival for several years. If you like these posts you may also be interested in the Invest Reddit where a community of those interested in investing submit and rate articles and blog posts.

May 14th, 2009 by John Hunter | Leave a Comment | Tags: carnival, Economics, Investing

Curious Cat Investing and Economics Carnival #1

I have been running the Curious Cat Management Management Improvement Carnival for several years and decided to start one on the investing and economics theme. I hope you enjoy the inaugural edition. If you like these posts you may also be interested in the Invest Reddit where a community of those interested in investing submit and rate articles and blog posts.

  • Case-Shiller: Is it Really THAT Bad? by Stan Humphries – “Unfortunately, in combining both foreclosures and non-foreclosures into a single metric, you’re not really getting a good insight into either market. In the current climate, you’re underestimating the decline in value of foreclosed homes and overestimating the decline in value of non-foreclosure homes.”
  • This is unquestionably the worst global economic crisis since the 1930s by Brad Setser – “Both the IMF and World Bank are now forecasting an outright fall in global output in 2009… Anything below 2% [growth] is generally considered a global recession.”
  • Value Added Tax (VAT): The Pros and Cons by Eric Stinson – “The VAT is also a consumption tax, so there is incentive for you to limit your spending. Like the Fair Tax, if you spend less than you make, you’ll pay less in taxes (all else equal).”
  • Face To Face With The Deficit by Scott Bittle – “The public simply will not permit Washington to raise their taxes, change their health insurance, or cut programs without their consent. Nor should they. But the public should understand the rules, too. It’s not enough to complain about red ink and then reject any possible solution.”
  • Confusing price discrimination – “Any way I think about it, the discount should either be to all consumers or to students for the entire day. Why would it be only to students in the afternoon?”
  • Leave Your Money in Your Retirement Accounts by Patrick – “At this point, the best thing you can do is stick to your retirement savings and investment plans. Continue contributing to your retirement accounts, make sure your asset allocation is set at your desired level, and don’t withdraw your retirement savings.”
  • Invisible Hands Explain Nothing: a response to a critic by Gavin Kennedy – “Indeed, Smith gives over 60 instances in Books I and II of Wealth Of Nations where the actions of individuals for their own ‘gain’ have less than beneficial consequences on those around them”

A couple of my posts have appeared in other carnivals recently: California Unemployment Rate Climbs to 10.5 Percent in the Money Hacks Carnival and Add to Your 401(k) and IRA in the Carnival of Personal Finance.

Related: Money Hacks Carnival #50 – Curious Cat Investing and Economics Search

April 5th, 2009 by John Hunter | 4 Comments | Tags: carnival, Economics, Investing

Money Hacks Carnival #50

I am glad to be hosting the 50th edition of the Money Hacks Carnival. There really are a ton of great post on money hacks for your personal finances. I have highlighted some of my favorites from the last week. New visitors to the Curious Cat Economics and Investing Blog may be interested in some of past personal finance posts.

I have included snippets from a some highlighted posts which illustrate the great number of thoughtful individuals writing blogs about how to manage your money more effectively and the economic conditions that impact each of our personal financial lives.

  • Patrick, with Military Finance Network, wrote Refund Anticipation Loans are Horrible – “is often near 99% APR or higher. Some Refund Anticipation Loans may cost the consumer up to 30% or more of their total tax return.” [He is exactly right, avoid being hacked out of your money by slick marketing of personal loans - John Hunter, Curious Cat].
  • Peter wrote, The Best Decision Doesn’t Always Make The Most Financial Sense: “What I’ve learned through this process is that to succeed financially you have to be willing to make careful decisions about where you’re headed, and realize that success doesn’t always mean making the most logical choice. Sometimes it means taking into account the psychology and human elements of the equation. Only when you do that will you truly be able to make the best decisions for you and your family.”
  • An Interview with Larry Winget – “If having a financially secure future is the most important thing to you, then that is where your money will go. Stop saying what is important to you and instead investigate the truth by tracking your spending.”
  • Dan, Darwin’s Finance, wrote Generation Debt: Our Children will Hate Us – “We continued to spend like there was no tomorrow. Individual, national and local debt soared to heights that were unsustainable.”
  • Mara Rogers, Secrets for Money, presents Another Type of Wealth: Pay It Forward and Random Acts of Kindness – “Your generosity can be shown in a very small and impulsive action such as paying someone a compliment, yet it will still have a very large positive impact on the other person, and typically results in a “ripple effect” of that person then being inspired to help another person.”
  • Danelle Ice wrote, College Costs Are Rising: Save Now With an Education Savings Account (ESA) – “According to the College Cost Calculator on AmericanFunds.com, it will cost $168,395 to send our daughter to The University of Texas at Austin starting in 2026 for four years. This calculation is based on a 5% inflation rate.”.
  • Patrick, Cash Money Life, wrote, How to Save Money on Your Homeowner’s Insurance Rates: 1) shop Around… 2) Increase Your Deductible… 3) Combine your homeowners and auto insurance policies…
  • Dorian Wales presents Behavioral Finance in Everyday Life – The Lottery as a Case Study – “Lottery has been deemed a tax on stupidity for a good reason. Every smart and aware consumer knows better than to throw money away on odds smaller than those of getting hit by lightning 3 times in a row.”

Income

    • Need a job? These 20 great places are hiring…
    • How to Get a Job in a Recession

    Using money and budgeting

    • A Simple Budget That Works?.
    • Teaching Kids to Spend Their Money Smartly by Dana
    • Reduce Spending without Sacrificing Lifestyle #1 – Eliminate Waste
    • Given a choice – money provides choices
    • Do It Yourself Debt Consolidation by Pinyo
    • Double Dipping Your Social Security Benefits by Junior Boomer
    • Finding New Mountains to Climb – what to do once you are out of debt
    • Can You Find Painless Ways to Cut Your Budget?

    Read more

    February 4th, 2009 by John Hunter | 16 Comments | Tags: Investing
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